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Parametric Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Cumulative Distributions From Censored Data

机译:删失数据累积分布的参数同时置信带

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摘要

This article describes existing methods and develops new methods for constructing simultaneous confidence bands for a cumulative distribution function. Our results are built on extensions of previous work by Cheng and Iles for two-sided and one-sided bands, respectively. Cheng and Iles used Wald statistics with (expected) Fisher information. We consider three alternatives—Wald statistics with observed Fisher information, Wald statistics with local information, and likelihood ratio statistics. We compare standard large-sample approximate methods with simulation or bootstrap-calibrated versions of the same methods. For (log-)location-scale distributions with complete or failure (Type II) censoring, the bootstrap methods have the correct coverage probability. A simulation for the Weibull distribution and time-censored (Type I) data shows that bootstrap methods provide coverage probabilities that are closer to nominal than those based on the usual large-sample approximations. We illustrate the methods with examples from product-life analysis and nondestructive evaluation probability of detection.
机译:本文介绍了现有方法并开发了用于构造累积分布函数的同时置信带的新方法。我们的结果建立在Cheng和Iles分别对双面和双面乐队的先前工作的扩展基础上。 Cheng和Iles使用Wald统计和(预期的)Fisher信息。我们考虑了三种选择:具有观察到的Fisher信息的Wald统计信息,具有本地信息的Wald统计信息和似然比统计信息。我们将标准的大样本近似方法与相同方法的仿真或自举校准版本进行了比较。对于具有完全或失败(II类)审查的(对数)位置规模分布,引导程序方法具有正确的覆盖概率。对Weibull分布和时间检查(类型I)数据进行的模拟显示,自举方法提供的覆盖概率比基于大样本近似值的覆盖概率更接近标称值。我们以产品寿命分析和无损检测概率为例,说明方法。

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